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         Current Atlantic Basin Information

DISCLAIMER: THIS IS FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY AND IS NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST.

Local Weather Statement from NWS Brownsville, TX
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Another Source For The Hurricane Local Statement


Local Weather Statement from NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Another Source For The Hurricane Local Statement


Local Weather Statement from NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Another Source For The Hurricane Local Statement



Dolly's Current and Forecasted Track:

5 Day Track Forecast
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Another Source Site For National Hurricane Center's 5 Day Forecast


Forecast Track Updated: 11 am EDT/10 am CDT July 21, 2008:

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Wind Swath Forecast Updated: 11 am EDT/10 am CDT July 21, 2008:

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Rainfall Forecast For Today and Tonight
Courtesy of
HydroPrediction Center:

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Rainfall Forecast For Tuesday and Tuesday night
Courtesy of
HydroPrediction Center:

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Rainfall Forecast For Wednesday and Wednesday night
Courtesy of
HydroPrediction Center:

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Model Track Forecast
Courtesy of
South Florida Water Management District:

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Model Track Forecast
Courtesy of
Weather Underground:

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Other Model Track Forecast Guidance :

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Tropical Cyclone Model Guidance From Colorado State

Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Track Forecasts From MIT

Tropical Atlantic Model Plots

Tropical Cyclone Model Output Maps


GFDL Hurricane Model Graphics Courtesy of NCEP:

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GFDL Full Domain

GFDL Nested Domain


HWRF Hurricane Model Graphics Courtesy of NCEP:

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HWRF Full Domain

HWRF Nested Domain


BAM/LBAR/A98E Model Forecast Text
Courtesy of
Southern Florida Water Management District:

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GFDL Model Forecast Text
Courtesy of
Southern Florida Water Management District:

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Other Model Forecast Text Courtesy of National Weather Service:

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Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Decoded Hurricane Hunter Reconnaissance Observations


Current South-Central US Surface Weather Map
Courtesy of
Hydrometeorological Prediction Center:

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Current Texas Surface Weather Plot
Courtesy of
Aviation Weather Center:

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Western Gulf of Mexico Marine Weather Observations

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Western Gulf of Mexico Map MAXT2 42051 42050 42049 42048 42035 42362 42361 PCNT2 Click to enlarge -Galveston Bay PTIT2 MQTT@ FPTT2 CAPL1 FGBL1 RSJT2 BABT2 RTOT2 SBPT2 PTAT2 42044 42043 42045 42047 42046 42020 42019 42002 42001 SRST2 Click to Enlarge - Louisiana/Mississippi Coastal Region


South Texas State Weather Observations
Courtesy of
Ohio State University:

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Another Source Site For State Weather Observations


Satellite Pictures Of Dolly:

Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Visible Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Water Vapor Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Current Brownsville, Texas Radar Image
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Short Range:

Long Range:


Current Corpus Christi, Texas Radar Image
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Short Range:

Long Range:


Current Houston-Galveston, Texas Radar Image
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Short Range:

Long Range:


Current South Plains US Radar Composite
Courtesy of
National Weather Service:

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Go to the Grand Junction, CO doppler radar Go to the Pueblo, CO doppler radar Go to the Albuquerque, NM doppler radar Go to the Holloman AFB, NM doppler radar Go to the El Paso, TX doppler radar Go to the Dodge City, KS doppler radar Go to the Amarillo, TX doppler radar Go to the Cannon AFB, NM doppler radar Go to the Lubbock, TX doppler radar Go to the Midland/Odessa, TX doppler radar Go to the Topeka, KS doppler radar Go to the Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO doppler radar Go to the Springfield, MO doppler radar Go to the Wichita, KS doppler radar Go to the Vance AFB, OK doppler radar Go to the Frederick, OK doppler radar Go to the Oklahoma City, OK doppler radar Go to the Tulsa, OK doppler radar Go to the Western Arkansas/Ft. Smith, AR doppler radar Go to the Little Rock, AR doppler radar Go to the Dyess AFB, TX doppler radar Go to the San Angelo, TX doppler radar Go to the Laughlin AFB, TX doppler radar Go to the Dallas/Fort Worth, TX doppler radar Go to the Shreveport, LA doppler radar Go to the Fort Polk, LA doppler radar Go to the Lake Charles, LA doppler radar Go to the Central Texas doppler radar Go to the Houston/Galveston, TX doppler radar Go to the Austin/San Antonio, TX doppler radar Go to the Corpus Christi, TX doppler radar Go to the Brownsville, TX doppler radar Go to the Goodland, KS doppler radar


CRISTOBAL


Latest Discussion On Cristobal
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Another Source For The Tropical Cyclone Discussions

Latest Public Advisory On Cristobal
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Another Source For The Public Advisory

Latest Forecast/Advisory On Cristobal
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Another Source For The Forecast/Advisory



Cristobal's Current and Forecasted Track:

5 Day Track Forecast
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Another Source Site For National Hurricane Center's 5 Day Forecast


Model Track Forecast
Courtesy of
South Florida Water Management District:

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Model Track Forecast
Courtesy of
Weather Underground:

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Other Model Track Forecast Guidance :

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GFDL Hurricane Model Graphics Courtesy of NCEP:

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HWRF Hurricane Model Graphics Courtesy of NCEP:

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BAM/LBAR/A98E Model Forecast Text
Courtesy of
Southern Florida Water Management District:

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GFDL Model Forecast Text
Courtesy of
Southern Florida Water Management District:

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Other Model Forecast Text Courtesy of National Weather Service:

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Hurricane Hunter Aircraft Reconnaissance Observations
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Decoded Hurricane Hunter Reconnaissance Observations


Satellite Pictures Of Cristobal:

Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Visible Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Water Vapor Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Current Atlantic Basin Information


Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT

Click for Eastern Pacific



Latest Tropical Weather Outlook
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Alternate Site #1 For Tropical Weather Outlooks

Alternate Site #2 For Tropical Weather Outlooks


Western Atlantic Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Atlantic Infared Satellite Image

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Other Infared Satellite Images Courtesy of Satellite Services Division:

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North Atlantic:

Western Atlantic:

Central Atlantic:

Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean:

US East Coast:

Northwest Atlantic:


Tropical Atlantic Wide Visible Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Other Visible Satellite Images Courtesy of Satellite Services Division:

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North Atlantic:

Western Atlantic:

Central Atlantic:

Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean:

US East Coast:

Northwest Atlantic:


Western Atlantic Water Vapor Satellite Image
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Atlantic Water Vapor Satellite Image

Tropical Atlantic Wide Water Vapor Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Other Water Vapor Satellite Images Courtesy of Satellite Services Division:

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North Atlantic:

Western Atlantic:

Central Atlantic:

Gulf of Mexico:

Caribbean:

US East Coast:

Northwest Atlantic:


Eastern Atlantic Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Africa Infared Satellite Picture


Eastern Atlantic Infared Satellite Image
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Google

Current Atlantic Surface Weather Analysis
Courtesy of
Dade County Surf Forecast Website:

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Current Atlantic Surface Weather Analysis
Courtesy of
Ocean Prediction Center:

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Current Atlantic Sea State Analysis
Courtesy of
National Hurricane Center:

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Atlantic Ocean Wave Analysis

Current Atlantic 700-850 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range 1000-1010 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 500-850 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range 990-999 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 400-850 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range 970-989 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 300-850 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range 950-969 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 250-850 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range 940-949 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 200-700 mb Mean Wind Analysis (TC Sfc Pressure Range <940 mbs)
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Atlantic 850 mb Relative Vorticity Analysis
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Probability Of Tropical Cyclone Formation Within 24 Hours
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Vertical Wind Shear Analysis (850-200 mbs)
Courtesy of
Satellite Services Division:

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Current Atlantic Wind Shear Analysis
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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Current Eastern Atlantic/African Wind Shear Analysis
Courtesy of
CIMSS Tropical Cyclones:

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12 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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24 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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36 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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48 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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60 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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72 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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96 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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120 Hour Forecast - Favorable Environmental Conditions For Tropical Development
Courtesy of
PSU E-Wall:

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72 Hour Atlantic Wind Shear Forecast
Courtesy of
Weather Underground:

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Current Sea Surface Temperature Analysis
Courtesy of
NOAA:

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Pressure

Convert Inches of Mercury inHg = mb

Convert Millibars mb = inHg

Wind Speed

Convert Miles per Hour MPH = KPH = KTS

Convert Knots KTS = MPH = KPH


What Is A Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm Or A Hurricane:

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  • Tropical Depression
    A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained wind speed is 38 mph or less (33 kt or less or 17 m/s or less). Depressions have a closed circulation.

  • Tropical Storm
    A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained wind speed ranges from 39 mph (34 kt or 18 m/s) to 73 mph (63 kt or 33 m/s). The convection in tropical storms is usually more concentrated near the center with outer rainfall organizing into distinct bands.

  • Hurricane
    When winds in a tropical cyclone equal or exceed 74 mph (64 kt or 34 m/s) it is called a hurricane. Hurricanes are further designated by categories on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricanes in categories 3, 4, 5 are known as Major Hurricanes or Intense Hurricanes.

    The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale:

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    The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a 1-5 rating based on the hurricane's present intensity. This is used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding expected along the coast from a hurricane landfall. Wind speed is the determining factor in the scale, as storm surge values are highly dependent on the slope of the continental shelf in the landfall region. Note that all winds are using the U.S. 1-minute average.

    Category One Hurricane:

    Winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 km/hr). Barometric Pressure Above 980 mb (Above 28.94 in) Storm surge generally 4-5 ft above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Also, some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage.



    Category Two Hurricane:

    Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 km/hr). Barometric Pressure 965-980 mb (28.50-28.94 in) Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings.



    Category Three Hurricane:

    Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 km/hr). Barometric Pressure 945-965 mb (27.91-28.50 in) Storm surge generally 9-12 ft above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large trees blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering from floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 ft above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required.



    Category Four Hurricane:

    Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 km/hr). Barometric Pressure 920-945 mb (27.17-27.91 in) Storm surge generally 13-18 ft above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km).



    Category Five Hurricane:

    Winds greater than 155 mph (greater than 135 kt or 249 km/hr). Barometric Pressure Below 920 mb (Below 27.17 in) Storm surge generally greater than 18 ft above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the center of the hurricane. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 ft above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required.

    2008 Tropical Cyclone Tracks
    Courtesy of
    Weather Underground:

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    2007 Tropical Cyclone Tracks

    2008 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Names:

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    Arthur

    Bertha

    Cristobal

    Dolly

    Edouard

    Fay

    Gustav

    Hanna

    Ike

    Josephine

    Kyle

    Laura

    Marco

    Nana

    Omar

    Paloma

    Rene

    Sally

    Teddy

    Vicky

    Wilfred

     

     

     

     


    Tropical Weather Numerical Model Links:

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    Tropical Weather Links:

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    Atlantic Tropical Weather Center

    BoatUS Hurricane Center

    CAMEX-4 Related Links

    Canadian Hurricane Centre

    CIRA Tropical Cyclone Page

    Early Alert

    Emergency Preparedness Kits

    Extreme Weather Hurricane Tracking Software

    Federal Alliance For Safe Homes

    High Instability Weather Radio Show

    Hurricane Weather Data From Al Pietrycha

    Hurricane Alley

    Hurricane City

    Hurricane Hunters Homepage

    HurricaneTrack.com

    Hurricane Watch Net

    Internet Partnership Radio

    Moreweather - Tropical Atlantic Weather Page

    National Hurricane Center

    Navy/NRL Tropical Cyclone Page

    NOAA Hurricane Research Division

    OneStorm Hurricane Preparedness

    Pod Weather

    QuikSCAT

    South Florida Water Management District

    Storm Reports Media Links

    Storm Surge Live Web Site

    Storm2k.org

    Tropical Cyclone Forecasters' Reference Guide

    Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Forecast

    Tropical Cyclone Research Page

    Tropical Meteorology Project

    Tropmet - Your Online Weather Resource

    TropicalUpdate.com

    United States Hurricane Problem

    WAVETRAK - Northern Atlantic Sector

    Weather Underground Tropical Weather Page


    Old City Web Services


    Copyright: © 2008, All Rights Reserved
    Contact Information:
    Rob Lightbown
    E-Mail address: rlightbown@crownweather.com
    Crown Weather Services



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    Current Atlantic Basin Information

    D